The warm front has shifted further east and has now (21 z) Width parts of Germany reached, as shown on the satellite image. If we take the colored cloud top temperatures as it appears that such shifts in altitudes of 10,000 m liegen.Die warmer air, however, further east, yet it is above the Atlantic.
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| temperatures and geopotential at 300 hPa (about 9000 m) |
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| infrared satellite image overlaid with the cloud-top temperature (the orange the higher range of the clouds) |
A look at the latest synoptic values is already moderate to heavy rain from the Ardennes to the resin (Hanover and Erfurt) and continue south to the Black Forest.
In Austria it is raining already in Vorarlberg and Tyrol, and by the Pinzgau to the house in Upper Austria and jerk.
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| Synopmeldungen Europe, 01/12/2011 at 21z |
Current model calculations
The latest model runs of ECMWF and UKMO / NA show no significant changes to the previous runs. The focus of the rainfall is up to the Friday morning still on the north side of the Alps Bregenzerwald to Eisenwurzen with secondary maxima in the beautiful countryside and Lake District.
The 36 h forecast of the UK Met Office shows but with up to 80 mm much larger quantities than the EC (50 mm) and calculated those in a similar pattern. However, the maximum, especially in Innviertel and Lower Bavaria. Thus we see that diverge even at the beginning of Regenerignissesdie models yet.
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| Add a Caption |
The storm center is mainly the area from the Kaiser Mountains to the western Upper Austria and of the Salzkammergut to the east into the Styrian Enns valley and up to Mariazell rotwürdige as warning (50 mm in 24 h) chosen. The orange-colored regions are with warnings of up to 30 mm below a warning threshold.
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| warning of severe weather center for the next Heavy rainfall event | | | | |
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Quellennangaben :
300 hPa weather map / GFS (1): wetter3.de
infrared satellite image (2): http://www.meteo-mc.fr/satellite-ir-anime-eu.php
Synopkarte Europe (3): estofex.org
precipitation maps ECMWF, UKMO (4.5): UBIMET intranet,
storm warning UWZ (6): screenshot 01/12/2011 23:00
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